Landscape Analyst for CODSAiN 2.0 Expansion

~ Position Open ~

Landscape Analyst for CODSAiN 2.0 Expansion

Abuja, Nigeria

Job Description

The Association for Reproductive and Family Health (ARFH) is a non-governmental organisation (NGO) is committed to improving the health and well-being of families and communities in Nigeria and Africa. Founded in 1989, ARFH has evolved into one of Nigeria’s premier development organisations, specialising in Sexual and Reproductive Health (SRH), Family Planning (FP), HIV/AIDS prevention and control, Maternal and Child Health (MCH), and health systems strengthening.

ARFH possess an extensive of managing complex, large-scale projects funded by major international donors and is recognised for its expertise in last-mile service delivery, community-oriented programming, and effective partnership with state and federal governments (FMOH, SMOH and NPHCDA). Essentially, ARFH’s programs are deliberately aimed at strengthening sustainable state capacity and enhancing data utilisation for informed decision-making.

ARFH is implementing the four-year Community-Oriented DMPA-SC/Self-Injection Acceleration in Nigeria (CODSAiN) project, which is financed by the Gates Foundation (BMGF). CODSAiN seeks to improve access to DMPA-SC and self-injection services in seven states (Gombe, Lagos, Kano, Nasarawa, Niger, Plateau, and Yobe) through trained facility providers and Community-Oriented Resource Persons (CORPs). Through focused demand generation, state capacity enhancement, and improvements in data and commodities systems, the project has considerably increased contraceptive access, particularly among underserved and hard-to-reach populations.

As ARFH and the Foundation prepare for CODSAiN 2.0, there is a need to extend their reach into additional states characterised by high contraceptive demand, governmental preparedness, and programmatic viability. Nine states are presently not covered by CODSAiN or DISC: Anambra, Benue, Borno, Edo, Ekiti, FCT, Imo, Osun, and Zamfara.

The landscape study will facilitate the evidence-based prioritisation of states for CODSAiN 2.0 expansion

Specific Responsibilities

2. Purpose of the Consultancy

To undertake a complete landscape analysis and multi-criteria prioritisation of the nine uncovered states to determine the best geographies for the CODSAiN 2.0 project’s growth.
The assessment will produce a prioritised list of potential states with justification, readiness profiles and opportunity assessments, evidence to guide strategic discussions with BMGF, FMOH, and state governments, and inputs for CODSAiN 2.0 planning and resource allocation.

3. Guiding Principles & Analytical Approach

The consultant will apply the following overarching principles:

Evidence-based: All recommendations will be founded on a synthesis of both quantitative and qualitative data.
Comparable and standardised: Utilisation of a standardised multi-criteria decision matrix to facilitate an objective ranking.
Participatory: Engagement with government, partners and community perspectives.
Equity-focused: Emphasis on prioritising states with significant unmet needs and limited access to services.
Feasibility-oriented: Consideration of political, operational, and financial realities.

Required Experience

4. Scope of Work

The consultant will undertake the following tasks:

4.1 Desk Review

Examine national and state-level datasets (NDHS 2023/24, NHMIS, LMIS, LMIS dashboards, DISC reports, partner program documents).
Extract and examine:
- mCPR, unmet need, teenage pregnancy, method mix
- Population distribution and rural–urban dynamics
- Service delivery density and health workforce distribution
- FP commodity logistics & stockout trends
Review state-level FP policies, budget documents, and annual operational plans.

4.2 Partner & Stakeholder Landscape Mapping

Identify the implementing partners, FP/MNCH, donor footprints, and program overlaps.
Map coordination platforms (such as TWGs, RH units, LMCU functionality, etc.).
Evaluate government interest through:
- Existence & release of FP budget line
- Policy commitments
- Coordination proficiency
- Current political climate and levels of receptiveness

4.3 Stakeholder Consultations (Remote or In-Person)

Conduct interviews with representatives from:
- SMOH and SPHCDA
- Directors of PHC, Planning & M&E units
- LMCU officials
- FP/RH Coordinators
- Key implementing partners (UNFPA, TCI, SFH, MSI, etc.)
Document perspectives on:
- Readiness to introduce scale-up
- Workforce capacity
- Community acceptance and engagement
- Data management and reporting environment
- Challenges as well as political/operational risks

4.4 Multi-Criteria Decision Matrix

Develop a scoring model using indicators such as:

Need:mCPR, unmet need, population of women of reproductive age, rural underserved communities
Readiness:health system capacity, NHMIS functionality and availability of human resources
Political Will:FP budget allocations, government commitments and coordination efforts
Partner Landscape:The existence or lack of existing FP partners
Strategic Fit:alignment with GF priorities and practicality of scaling up

Each state will receive a weighted score and ranking.

4.5 Report Development

Develop a comprehensive analytical document that includes:

State profiles (9 total)
Comparative analysis
Prioritised ranking and rationale
Risks and recommendations
Impact on the design, budget, and timelines for CODSAiN 2.0

4.6 Validation & Sensemaking

Present the findings during a half-day workshop involving the Gates Foundation, ARFH, NPSC&MP, SMOH/SPHCDA, and collaborating
Facilitate a discussion to finalise the recommended states for expansion.

5. Deliverables

An Inception Report(To be submitted within one week of contract signing) that includes
- Methodology
- Tools and instruments
- Workplan & schedule
- Data sources
Draft Landscape Analysis Report
- Comprehensive analytical findings
- Profiles for each of the nine states
- Multi-criteria evaluation matrix
- Ranked list with justifications
- Risks and opportunities
Final Landscape Analysis Report
- Incorporation of stakeholder feedback
- Comprehensive annexes (datasets, assessment tools, consultation summaries)
Presentation Slide Deck
- For internal and donor-facing discussions
Facilitation of Sensemaking Workshop
- Agenda, materials and summary notes

Minimum Qualifications

6. Qualifications

Possession of an advanced degree in Public Health, Health Economics, Demography, or related
Seven to ten or more years of professional experience in the formulation of FP/SRH program design, health systems strengthening, or comprehensive landscape assessments.
Demonstrated expertise in conducting assessments across multiple states or regions.
Strong knowledge of Nigeria’s FP ecosystem, government frameworks, and donor initiatives.
Demonstrated expertise in data triangulation as well as in both quantitative/qualitative analytical methodologies.
Excellent facilitation and presentation skills.

7. Ethical Considerations and Data Management

The consultant will be required to:

Ensure confidentiality of all interview respondents.
Adhere to national and organisational data protection standards.
Secure informed consent for all consultations.
Submit datasets that are clean and anonymised.

8. Measures For Risk Mitigation

Use remote interviews for locations that are insecure or difficult to access.
Identify discrepancies by triangulating multiple data sources. Document the limitations and assumptions of the document.
Verify findings with experts at the state level.

9. Consultancy Terms of Payment

Payments associated with deliverables:

40%upon approval of the inception report
40%upon submission of the draft assessment report
20%upon delivery of the final report and workshop facilitation

Method of Application

Interested Applicants should complete the online form at: https://forms.gle/d89KcqNjWCsgA9Y8A for this position.

All applicants are enjoined to send their comprehensive Curriculum Vitae and cover letter in ONLY one attachment (MSWord document) explaining suitability for the job to programs@arfh-ng.org on/or before 19^th December, 2025. Please indicate the title of post applied for in the subject line of the email. Only shortlisted applicants will be contacted. Applicants are advised to provide their functional emails/mobile phone numbers on the application letter as well as three professional referees. Candidates must provide functional e-mail addresses and telephone numbers of their referees.

Eligible female applicants are encouraged to apply. ARFH has a Child Safeguarding policy in place and is an equal opportunity employer (EOE).

~ Position Open ~